All polls for the next Polish parliamentary election 2019

The parliament of Poland has an upper house, the Senate, and a lower house, the Sejm. Members of both houses are elected by direct election every four years. The Sejm has 460 members, while the Senate has 100 senators. Both chambers are elected through an electoral system of proportional representation. The next Polish parliamentary election is scheduled to be held not later than November 2019. The previous election in 2015 was won by PiS. There is a 5% minimum threshold for individual parties and an 8% threshold for party alliances to gain mandates in the parliament. Between July 2015 and February 2016 the party alliance United Left (Democratic Left Alliance (SLD), Your Movement (TR), Polish Socialist Party (PPS), Labour United (UP), and The Greens (PZ)) was used by most pollsters instead of polling the individual parties. In the graph below, the values for the SLD in this time period are United left polling results or aggregates of the SLD and the TR numbers.

Poll of Polls

Prawo i Sprawiedliwość
Law and Justice
Candidate: Mateusz Morawiecki
EP Affiliation: ECR
Platforma Obywatelska
Civic Platform
Candidate: Grzegorz Schetyna
EP Affiliation: EPP
Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej
Democratic Left Alliance
Candidate: Włodzimierz Czarzasty
EP Affiliation: S&D
Kukiz'15
Kukiz'15
Candidate: Paweł Kukiz
EP Affiliation: *New
Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe
Polish People's Party
Candidate: Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz
EP Affiliation: EPP
Nowoczesna
Modern
Candidate: Katarzyna Lubnauer
EP Affiliation: ALDE

Previous election results

Date
Election
25. Oct '15
Parliamentary Election 2015
37.6 % 24.1 % 8.8 % 7.6 % 7.6 % 5.1 %
Date
Election
09. Oct '11
Parliamentary Election 2011
39.2 % 29.9 % 8.4 % 8.2 %

The most recent polls

Date
Polling Firm
1 2 3 4 5 6 N
MoE
10. Aug '18
Pollster
38 % 28 % 11 % 8 % 6 % 4 % 1035
± 3 %
10. Aug '18
CBM Indicator
42 % 24.6 % 10.6 % 6.3 % 5.2 % 4.6 % 1000
± 3.1 %
09. Aug '18
Estymator
41.8 % 25.9 % 9.3 % 8.2 % 6.3 % 4.2 % 1006
± 3 %
12. Jul '18
Pollster
40 % 27 % 9 % 8 % 6 % 5 % 1094
± 2.9 %
11. Jul '18
Kantar Public
41.5 % 28.1 % 11 % 7.3 % 4.9 % 3.7 % 1042
± 2.9 %
05. Jul '18
CBOS
47.1 % 18.8 % 9.4 % 8.2 % 5.9 % 3.5 % 999
± 3 %
05. Jul '18
Pollster / TVP
42.4 % 26.3 % 8.1 % 8.1 % 5.1 % 5.1 % 1056
± 3 %
28. Jun '18
Estymator
42.3 % 25.2 % 8.9 % 7.5 % 5.5 % 5.2 % 1005
± 3.1 %
22. Jun '18
IBRiS / Onet
41.7 % 27.1 % 10.6 % 8.3 % 6.3 % 3.6 % 1100
± 2.9 %
18. Jun '18
Pollster
41 % 27 % 7 % 7 % 5 % 4 % NA
-
17. Jun '18
Kantar Public
50 % 24.4 % 7.3 % 7.3 % 4.9 % 3.7 % 1023
± 3 %
14. Jun '18
CBOS
50.6 % 20 % 9.4 % 5.9 % 4.7 % 4.7 % 989
± 3.1 %

About

pollofpolls.eu is a private initiative by three data nerds, who want to offer aggregated polling data for upcoming elections in Europe. Slick design, up to date and comprehensive for anyone looking for the most recent polling numbers and their aggregation. We are not fivethirtyeight yet, but everyone must start at the bottom. We are based in Vienna, Austria, in the middle of the EU with its many difficulties and political disputes going on, and by tracking the political polls we try to give you one option to keep pace with the public mood. We are very aware that polls are far from showing the actual full picture, and we, therefore, see them rather as a very good compass, especially when aggregated. Last but not least, we invest our free time and apologize for possibly occurring bugs or errors.

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Disclosure: Poll of polls - pollofpolls.eu is a polling data project based in Vienna, Austria.