European Parliament Elections 2019

Welcome to the first aggregation results with our new aggregation model for the European Parliament Election 2019. Here you find the number of seats each party group is estimated to win based on current polling data. Have a look at the more detailed seat calculation by country and party with our interactive map of Europe.

The European Parliament Election takes place every five years and all European Citizens vote for national party lists in their respective EU-country, which then, in turn, fill the number of seats allocated to each of the 27 countries. The EU Parliament is the only directly elected institution in the triad of EU-institutions. The EP-election also gained importance through the so-called Spitzenkandidaten-process, where each party group chooses a frontrunner candidate, who they support as next president of the EU commission. This process was first applied in 2014 when Jean-Claude Juncker became president after his supporting party group, the European People's Party received the most votes in the EP-election 2014.

The chart below shows the number of seats for each party group in the European Parliament according to the national poll of polls in each country and the number of seats each country holds in the European Parliament. We do consider recent changes of party alignments and you can track the sudden steps in the line chart when large national parties change from one group to another. Thus for example, En Marche is included with the new parties NEW until Novemer 10, 2018, when they announced they would join ALDE for the EP 2019 campaign. The Italian M5S is still included in the EFDD group in our model, since the party announced to leave but has not yet announced a new certain group it wants to join.

Poll of Polls

European People's Party group
European People's Party group
Leadership: Manfred Weber
Ideology: Christian Democracy
Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats
Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats
Leadership: Udo Bullmann
Ideology: Social Democracy
Alliance of Liberals and Democrats for Europe group
Alliance of Liberals and Democrats for Europe group
Leadership: Guy Verhofstadt
Ideology: Liberalism
Europe of Nations and Freedom
Europe of Nations and Freedom
Leadership: Nicolas Bay & Marcel de Graaff
Ideology: Right-wing populism
European United Left–Nordic Green Left
European United Left–Nordic Green Left
Leadership: Gabriele Zimmer
Ideology: Left-wing populism
Greens-European Free Alliance
Greens-European Free Alliance
Leadership: Philippe Lamberts & Ska Keller
Ideology: Green Politics

Seats by Countries


Country

Seats
EU 185 131 98 59 55 48 47 45 29 8 705
DE 29 14 8 - 8 19 - 14 4 - 96
FR 13 - 20 18 11 11 - 6 - - 79
IT 8 16 - 29 - - - 23 - - 76
ES 13 14 14 - 10 - - - 8 - 59
PL 21 3 - - - - 25 - 3 - 52
RO 10 11 12 - - - - - - - 33
NL 2 3 7 4 4 4 1 - 4 - 29
HU 14 4 - - - - - - - 3 21
BE 4 4 4 1 1 3 4 - - - 21
SE 5 7 3 - 2 - 4 - - - 21
CZ 2 1 8 2 1 3 4 - - - 21
PT 8 10 - - 3 - - - - - 21
GR 9 2 - - 7 - - - - 3 21
AT 7 5 1 5 - 1 - - - - 19
BG 8 7 1 - - - 1 - - - 17
DK - 5 4 - 1 1 3 - - - 14
FI 3 4 3 - 1 2 1 - - - 14
SK 2 4 - - - - 3 1 2 2 14
IE 5 1 4 - 3 - - - - - 13
HR 6 3 - - - - - - 3 - 12
LT 4 1 1 - - 3 - 1 1 - 11
LV - 3 1 - - - 1 - 3 - 8
SI 4 2 1 - 1 - - - - - 8
EE - 1 5 - - - - - 1 - 7
LU 3 1 1 - - 1 - - - - 6
MT 2 4 - - - - - - - - 6
CY 3 1 - - 2 - - - - - 6

Previous election results - 2014


Country

Seats
EU 221 191 70 67 53 52 50 47 751
DE 34 27 8 4 2 8 13 - 96
FR 20 13 - 7 24 4 6 - 74
GB - 20 20 1 1 1 6 24 73
IT 17 31 - - 5 3 - 17 73
ES 17 14 - 8 - 11 4 - 54
PL 23 5 19 - 4 - - - 51
RO 15 16 - 1 - - - - 32
NL 5 3 2 7 4 3 2 - 26
HU 12 4 - - 3 - 2 - 21
PT 7 8 - 2 - 4 - - 21
BE 4 4 4 6 1 - 2 - 21
CZ 7 4 2 4 - 3 - 1 21
GR 5 4 1 - 5 6 - - 21
SE 4 6 - 3 - 1 4 2 20
AT 5 5 - 1 4 - 3 - 18
BG 7 4 2 4 - - - - 17
DK 1 3 4 3 - 1 1 - 13
FI 3 2 2 4 - 1 1 - 13
SK 6 4 2 1 - - - - 13
IE 4 1 1 1 - 4 - - 11
HR 5 2 1 2 - - 1 - 11
LT 2 2 1 3 - - 1 2 11
LV 4 1 1 - - - 1 1 8
SI 5 1 - 1 - - 1 - 8
LU 3 1 - 1 - - 1 - 6
MT 3 3 - - - - - - 6
CY 2 2 - - - 2 - - 6
EE 1 1 - 3 - - 1 - 6

About

pollofpolls.eu is a private initiative by three data nerds, who want to offer aggregated polling data for upcoming elections in Europe. Slick design, up to date and comprehensive for anyone looking for the most recent polling numbers and their aggregation. We are not fivethirtyeight yet, but everyone must start at the bottom. We are based in Vienna, Austria, in the middle of the EU with its many difficulties and political disputes going on, and by tracking the political polls we try to give you one option to keep pace with the public mood. We are very aware that polls are far from showing the actual full picture, and we, therefore, see them rather as a very good compass, especially when aggregated. Last but not least, we invest our free time and apologize for possibly occurring bugs or errors.

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Disclosure: Poll of polls - pollofpolls.eu is a polling data project based in Vienna, Austria.