Welcome to the first aggregation results with our new aggregation model for the European Parliament Election 2019. Here you find the number of seats each party group is estimated to win based on current polling data. Have a look at the more detailed seat calculation by country and party with our interactive map of Europe.
The European Parliament Election takes place every five years and all European Citizens vote for national party lists in their respective EU-country, which then, in turn, fill the number of seats allocated to each of the 27 countries. The EU Parliament is the only directly elected institution in the triad of EU-institutions. The EP-election also gained importance through the so-called Spitzenkandidaten-process, where each party group chooses a frontrunner candidate, who they support as next president of the EU commission. This process was first applied in 2014 when Jean-Claude Juncker became president after his supporting party group, the European People's Party received the most votes in the EP-election 2014.
The chart below shows the number of seats for each party group in the European Parliament according to the national poll of polls in each country and the number of seats each country holds in the European Parliament. We do consider recent changes of party alignments and you can track the sudden steps in the line chart when large national parties change from one group to another. Thus for example, En Marche is included with the new parties NEW until Novemer 10, 2018, when they announced they would join ALDE for the EP 2019 campaign. The Italian M5S is still included in the EFDD group in our model, since the party announced to leave but has not yet announced a new certain group it wants to join.