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European Parliament Elections 2019

Welcome to the new aggregation results with our updated aggregation model for the European Parliament Election 2019. Here you find the number of seats each party group is estimated to win based on current polling data. Have a look at the more detailed seat calculation by country and party with our interactive map of Europe. We are the only website that offers a daily updated seat estimate based on our unique statistical model that combines national and EP-specific polls from all member states at the same time to calculate the number of seats for each group in the European parliament.

The European Parliament Election takes place every five years and all European Citizens vote for national party lists in their respective EU-country, which then, in turn, fill the number of seats allocated to each of the 27 countries. The EU Parliament is the only directly elected institution in the triad of EU-institutions.

The chart below shows the number of seats for each party group in the European Parliament according to the national poll of polls in each country and the number of seats each country holds in the European Parliament. We do consider recent changes of party alignments and you can track the sudden steps in the line chart when large national parties change from one group to another. Thus, for example, En Marche is included with the new parties NEW until November 10, 2018, when they announced they would join ALDE for the EP 2019 campaign.

Poll of Polls

European People's Party group
Leadership: Manfred Weber
Ideology: Christian Democracy
Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats
Leadership: Udo Bullmann
Ideology: Social Democracy
Alliance of Liberals and Democrats for Europe group + Macron's En Marche
Leadership: Guy Verhofstadt
Ideology: Liberalism
Salvini's European Alliance of People and Nations (ex-ENF)
Leadership: Matteo Salvini
New and unaffiliated parties
European Conservatives and Reformists
Leadership: Syed Kamall
Ideology: Conservative Liberalism

Seats by Countries


Country

Seats
EU 178 145 97 71 70 66 56 46 22 751
DE 29 16 10 11 4 - 17 9 - 96
FR 13 5 21 21 - - 7 7 - 74
GB - 21 7 - 24 13 8 - - 73
IT 7 17 - 27 - 4 - - 18 73
ES 11 14 10 - 8 - 4 7 - 54
PL 20 - - - 5 23 - - 3 51
RO 8 9 8 - 7 - - - - 32
NL 3 2 6 - 1 8 4 2 - 26
HU 14 4 - - 3 - - - - 21
BE 4 3 4 - 1 4 4 1 - 21
CZ 2 2 6 - 4 5 - 2 - 21
PT 10 8 - - - - - 3 - 21
GR 10 2 - - 3 - - 6 - 21
SE 5 5 3 - - 3 2 2 - 20
AT 6 5 1 5 - - 1 - - 18
BG 8 7 2 - - - - - - 17
DK - 4 4 2 - - 1 2 - 13
FI 2 3 2 3 - - 2 1 - 13
SK 1 3 - 1 4 4 - - - 13
IE 4 - 3 - 2 - - 2 - 11
HR 5 3 1 - 1 - - - 1 11
LT 4 2 1 - 1 - 3 - - 11
LV 2 2 - - 1 1 2 - - 8
SI 3 2 2 - - - - 1 - 8
LU 2 1 1 - - 1 1 - - 6
MT 2 4 - - - - - - - 6
EE - - 5 1 - - - - - 6
CY 3 1 - - 1 - - 1 - 6

Previous election results - 2014


Country

Seats
EU 221 191 70 67 53 52 50 47 751
DE 34 27 8 4 2 8 13 - 96
FR 20 13 - 7 24 4 6 - 74
GB - 20 20 1 1 1 6 24 73
IT 17 31 - - 5 3 - 17 73
ES 17 14 - 8 - 11 4 - 54
PL 23 5 19 - 4 - - - 51
RO 15 16 - 1 - - - - 32
NL 5 3 2 7 4 3 2 - 26
HU 12 4 - - 3 - 2 - 21
PT 7 8 - 2 - 4 - - 21
BE 4 4 4 6 1 - 2 - 21
CZ 7 4 2 4 - 3 - 1 21
GR 5 4 1 - 5 6 - - 21
SE 4 6 - 3 - 1 4 2 20
AT 5 5 - 1 4 - 3 - 18
BG 7 4 2 4 - - - - 17
DK 1 3 4 3 - 1 1 - 13
FI 3 2 2 4 - 1 1 - 13
SK 6 4 2 1 - - - - 13
IE 4 1 1 1 - 4 - - 11
HR 5 2 1 2 - - 1 - 11
LT 2 2 1 3 - - 1 2 11
LV 4 1 1 - - - 1 1 8
SI 5 1 - 1 - - 1 - 8
LU 3 1 - 1 - - 1 - 6
MT 3 3 - - - - - - 6
CY 2 2 - - - 2 - - 6
EE 1 1 - 3 - - 1 - 6

About

pollofpolls.eu is a private initiative by three data nerds, who want to offer aggregated polling data for upcoming elections in Europe. Slick design, up to date and comprehensive for anyone looking for the most recent polling numbers and their aggregation. We are not fivethirtyeight yet, but everyone must start at the bottom. We are based in Vienna, Austria, in the middle of the EU with its many difficulties and political disputes going on, and by tracking the political polls we try to give you one option to keep pace with the public mood. We are very aware that polls are far from showing the actual full picture, and we, therefore, see them rather as a very good compass, especially when aggregated. Last but not least, we invest our free time and apologize for possibly occurring bugs or errors.

Contact: Follow us on Twitter and Facebook for updates and more. We also look forward to your feedback, questions or funny gifs, which you can send us via Email contact@pollofpolls.eu.

Disclosure: Poll of polls - pollofpolls.eu is a polling data project by Cornelius Hirsch and Peter Reschenhofer based in Vienna, Austria.