Germany

The big final in the extraordinary election year 2017 ‒ Bundestagswahl in Germany

The German federal election for the "Bundestag" took place on September 24th 2017. Long-time federal chancellor Angela Merkel and her CDU/CSU Union has been the clear favourite but with the new competitor Martin Schulz battling for first place became more interesting, even though after several disappointing elections in federal states of Germany, the SPD's polling numbers decreased again. In the end both CDU and SPD lost dramatically. 

Moreover, once more in an european election, all eyes were on an far-right populist party, in the case of Germany the Alternative for Germany (AfD). The AfD surged in the polls during the refugee crisis but support for the party decreased in the polls in 2017. On election day they gained 8 percentage points and got almost 13% of the votes. The liberal FDP made a comeback after constantly polling above the 5-percentage threshold and won 10%. 

Previous election results

Date Election
24. Sep Bundestagswahl 2017 32.9 % 20.5 % 12.6 % 10.7 % 9.2 % 8.9 %
Date Election
22. Sep Bundestagswahl 2013 41.5 % 25.7 % 8.6 % 8.4 % 4.8 % 4.7 %

The most recent polls for the upcoming election

Date Polling Firm N MoE 1 2 3 4 5 6
21. Oct Emnid 2304 - 32 % 21 % 12 % 11 % 10 % 9 %
20. Oct Infratest Dimap 1026 - 31 % 21 % 12 % 12 % 11 % 9 %
19. Oct GMS 1005 - 31 % 21 % 13 % 12 % 10 % 9 %
18. Oct FORSA 2501 - 32 % 20 % 12 % 11 % 11 % 9 %
16. Oct INSA YouGov 2011 - 32 % 21.5 % 13 % 10 % 9.5 % 9 %
14. Oct Emnid 1960 - 31 % 21 % 12 % 11 % 10 % 10 %
13. Oct FG Wahlen 1180 - 31 % 21 % 12 % 11 % 11 % 10 %
11. Oct FORSA 2001 - 32 % 20 % 12 % 11 % 11 % 9 %
10. Oct INSA YouGov 2015 - 32 % 22 % 13 % 11 % 9 % 9 %
07. Oct Emnid 1490 - 32 % 22 % 12 % 10 % 10 % 9 %
04. Oct FORSA 2005 - 32 % 20 % 12 % 11 % 10 % 10 %
01. Oct INSA YouGov 1071 - 31 % 21 % 13 % 12 % 10 % 9 %
30. Sep Emnid 1038 - 33 % 21 % 12 % 11 % 10 % 10 %
29. Sep FG Wahlen 1425 - 32 % 21 % 12 % 11 % 10 % 10 %
22. Sep Emnid 1994 - 35 % 22 % 11 % 10 % 9 % 8 %
22. Sep FORSA 2006 - 36 % 22 % 11 % 9.5 % 9.5 % 7 %
22. Sep INSA YouGov 2000 - 34 % 21 % 13 % 11 % 9 % 8 %
21. Sep GMS 1004 - 37 % 22 % 10 % 9 % 9 % 8 %
21. Sep YouGov 1862 - 36 % 23 % 10 % 10 % 9 % 7 %
21. Sep FG Wahlen 1725 - 36 % 21.5 % 11 % 10 % 8.5 % 8 %

About

pollofpolls.eu is a private initiative by three data nerds, who want to offer aggregated polling data for upcoming elections in Europe. Slick design, up to date and comprehensive for anyone looking for the most recent polling numbers and their aggregation. We are not fivethirtyeight yet, but everyone must start at the bottom. We are based in Vienna, Austria, in the middle of the EU with its many difficulties and political disputes going on, and by tracking the political polls we try to give you one option to keep pace with the public mood. We are very aware that polls are far from showing the actual full picture, and we therefore see them rather as a very good compass, especially when aggregated. Last but not least, we invest our free time and apologize for possibly occurring bugs or errors.

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