Germany

All polls for the Bundestag in Germany ‒ most recent election in September 2017

The German federal election for the "Bundestag" took place on September 24th, 2017. Long-time federal chancellor Angela Merkel and her CDU/CSU Union has been the clear favorite but with the new competitor Martin Schulz battling for first place became more interesting, even though after several disappointing elections in federal states of Germany, the SPD's polling numbers decreased again. In the end, both CDU and SPD lost dramatically. 

Moreover, once more in an european election, all eyes were on an far-right populist party, in the case of Germany the Alternative for Germany (AfD). The AfD surged in the polls during the refugee crisis but support for the party decreased in the polls in 2017. On election day they gained 8 percentage points and got almost 13% of the votes. The liberal FDP made a comeback after constantly polling above the 5-percentage threshold and won 10%. 

Previous election results

Date Election
24. Sep Bundestagswahl 2017 32.9 % 20.5 % 12.6 % 10.7 % 9.2 % 8.9 %
Date Election
22. Sep Bundestagswahl 2013 41.5 % 25.7 % 8.6 % 8.4 % 4.8 % 4.7 %

The most recent polls for the upcoming election

Date Polling Firm N MoE 1 2 3 4 5 6
19. Jan FG Wahlen 1332 ± 2.5 % 33 % 20 % 12 % 12 % 10 % 8 %
18. Jan FORSA 1504 ± 2.4 % 34 % 18 % 12 % 12 % 10 % 8 %
15. Jan FORSA 2501 ± 1.8 % 33 % 20 % 12 % 11 % 9 % 9 %
15. Jan INSA YouGov 2000 ± 2 % 31.5 % 18.5 % 14 % 11.5 % 10 % 9.5 %
13. Jan Emnid 1899 ± 2.1 % 34 % 21 % 13 % 11 % 9 % 8 %
09. Jan Civey 11880 ± 2.5 % 31.1 % 19.3 % 14.5 % 11.1 % 9.9 % 9.3 %
08. Jan INSA YouGov 2028 ± 2 % 31.5 % 19.5 % 13.5 % 11 % 10 % 10 %
07. Jan FORSA 2003 ± 2.1 % 34 % 20 % 12 % 10 % 9 % 9 %
06. Jan Emnid 1440 ± 2.4 % 33 % 20 % 12 % 12 % 9 % 9 %
04. Jan Infratest Dimap 1506 ± 2.4 % 33 % 21 % 13 % 11 % 9 % 9 %
03. Jan GMS 1005 ± 2.9 % 32 % 20 % 14 % 11 % 10 % 9 %
02. Jan INSA YouGov 2012 ± 2 % 32.5 % 19.5 % 13 % 11 % 10 % 10 %
28. Dec YouGov 1992 ± 2.1 % 33 % 21 % 13 % 10 % 10 % 9 %
27. Dec FORSA 2504 ± 1.9 % 34 % 19 % 12 % 12 % 10 % 8 %
23. Dec Emnid 1861 ± 2.1 % 33 % 21 % 12 % 11 % 10 % 8 %
23. Dec INSA YouGov 2203 ± 2 % 33 % 20.5 % 13 % 10.5 % 10 % 9.5 %
21. Dec Allensbach 1443 ± 2.4 % 34 % 21 % 11.5 % 11 % 10 % 9 %
19. Dec INSA YouGov 2031 ± 2 % 31 % 21 % 14 % 11 % 10 % 9 %
16. Dec FORSA 2501 ± 1.8 % 33 % 20 % 12 % 12 % 10 % 8 %
16. Dec Emnid 1865 ± 2.1 % 32 % 22 % 13 % 11 % 9 % 8 %

About

pollofpolls.eu is a private initiative by three data nerds, who want to offer aggregated polling data for upcoming elections in Europe. Slick design, up to date and comprehensive for anyone looking for the most recent polling numbers and their aggregation. We are not fivethirtyeight yet, but everyone must start at the bottom. We are based in Vienna, Austria, in the middle of the EU with its many difficulties and political disputes going on, and by tracking the political polls we try to give you one option to keep pace with the public mood. We are very aware that polls are far from showing the actual full picture, and we, therefore, see them rather as a very good compass, especially when aggregated. Last but not least, we invest our free time and apologize for possibly occurring bugs or errors.

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