Germany

The big final in the extraordinary election year 2017 ‒ Bundestagswahl in Germany

The German federal election for the "Bundestag" is scheduled for September 24th 2017. Long-time federal chancellor Angela Merkel and her CDU/CSU Union has been the clear favourite but with the new competitor Martin Schulz battling for first place became more interesting, even though after several disappointing elections in federal states of Germany, the SPD's polling numbers decreased again.

Moreover, once more in an european election, all eyes are on an far-right populist party, in the case of Germany the Alternative for Germany (AfD). The AfD surged in the polls during the refugee crisis but support for the party has been decreasing in the polls in 2017. The liberal FDP could make a comeback with constantly polling above the 5-percentage threshold.

Previous election results

Date Election
22. Sep Bundestagswahl 2013 41.5 % 25.7 % 8.6 % 8.4 % 4.8 % 4.7 %
Date Election
27. Sep Bundestagswahl 2009 33.8 % 23 % 14.6 % 11.9 % 10.7 % -

The most recent polls for the upcoming election

Date Polling Firm N MoE 1 2 3 4 5 6
23. Aug FORSA 2501 - 38 % 24 % 9 % 9 % 8 % 7 %
22. Aug INSA YouGov 2036 - 38 % 24 % 10 % 9 % 9 % 7 %
22. Aug Allensbach 1421 - 39.5 % 24 % 10 % 8 % 7.5 % 7 %
22. Aug Civey 10088 ± 2.5 % 38.1 % 24.8 % 9 % 8.3 % 8 % 7.6 %
19. Aug Emnid 1426 - 39 % 24 % 9 % 8 % 8 % 7 %
16. Aug FORSA 2507 - 39 % 23 % 9 % 8 % 8 % 8 %
16. Aug GMS 1007 - 40 % 22 % 9 % 8 % 8 % 7 %
16. Aug YouGov 1538 - 37 % 25 % 9 % 9 % 9 % 7 %
15. Aug INSA YouGov 2025 - 37 % 25 % 10 % 9 % 9 % 7 %
15. Aug Civey 10259 ± 2.5 % 37.8 % 24.1 % 9.1 % 8.7 % 8.4 % 7.6 %
12. Aug Emnid 1886 - 38 % 24 % 10 % 8 % 8 % 7 %
11. Aug FG Wahlen 1352 - 40 % 24 % 8 % 8 % 8 % 8 %
10. Aug YouGov 1513 - 38 % 24 % 9 % 9 % 9 % 6 %
09. Aug FORSA 2503 - 40 % 23 % 8 % 8 % 8 % 7 %
09. Aug Infratest Dimap 1505 - 39 % 24 % 9 % 8 % 8 % 8 %
08. Aug Civey 10226 ± 2.5 % 38.1 % 22.4 % 9.8 % 8.9 % 8.7 % 8.2 %
07. Aug INSA YouGov 2046 - 37 % 25 % 10.5 % 9 % 9 % 6.5 %
05. Aug Emnid 2453 - 38 % 23 % 10 % 8 % 8 % 8 %
03. Aug YouGov 2000 - 37 % 25 % 9 % 9 % 8 % 7 %
02. Aug FORSA 2501 - 40 % 22 % 8 % 8 % 8 % 8 %

About

pollofpolls.eu is a private initiative by three data nerds, who want to offer aggregated polling data for upcoming elections in Europe. Slick design, up to date and comprehensive for anyone looking for the most recent polling numbers and their aggregation. We are not fivethirtyeight yet, but everyone must start at the bottom. We are based in Vienna, Austria, in the middle of the EU with its many difficulties and political disputes going on, and by tracking the political polls we try to give you one option to keep pace with the public mood. We are very aware that polls are far from showing the actual full picture, and we therefore see them rather as a very good compass, especially when aggregated. Last but not least, we invest our free time and apologize for possibly occurring bugs or errors.

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